Romania’s gross domestic product (GDP) edged up 0.1% in unadjusted data and inched 0.3% higher in seasonally adjusted data in the third quarter of 2026 compared to the third quarter of 2025, INS also said in its statement.
In January-September 2026 period, Romania’s GDP shrank by 0.3% in unadjusted data and by 1% in seasonally adjusted data compared to the same period of 2025.
INS said it has revised its seasonally adjusted quarterly GDP series following the inclusion of estimates for the third quarter. The quarterly growth rates for the first and fourth quarters of 2025 were revised to 0.0% and -1.5%, respectively, while the first-quarter 2026 contraction was revised to 0.3%, from a previously estimated 0.1%. The second-quarter 2026 figure remained unchanged at flat quarterly growth.
In the second quarter of 2026, the economy contracted by 0.2% year-on-year in unadjusted data and by 1.9% in seasonally adjusted data, according to the latest revised data. In the first quarter of 2026, the GDP fell by an unadjusted 1.2% year-on-year compared to a 0.3% uptick in the same period of 2025.
In October 2026, the National Commission for Strategy and Prognosis said Romania’s economy is expected to contract by 0.4% in 2026, compared with previously forecast growth of 0.1%. CFA Romania, an association of investment professionals, said in October it expects the GDP to grow by 0.1% in 2026, unchanged from the previous month’s forecast.
Also in October 2026, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said it expects Romania’s economy to contract by 0.5% in 2026, sharply downgrading its April forecast, which projected growth of 0.7%, while the World Bank sees the country’s economy shrinking by 0.5% this year.
In September 2026, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) said it expects Romania’s economy to shrink by 0.2% in 2026, leaving its projection unchanged from June.