The anticipations component climbed by 10 points, to 48.6 and the current conditions one added 11.3 points. The evolution was supported by the better-than-expected performance in narrowing the budgetary gap, which improved investors’ confidence, says Adrian Codirlasu, President of CFA Romania.
The anticipated rate of inflation for the next 12 months (February 2027) dropped from the previous month and reached 5.85% and 94% of survey respondents expect inflation to go down in the coming year. At the same time, 83% of economists expect the domestic currency to weaken: the average estimated EUR/RON exchange rate is RON5.1471 in six months and RON5.1982 in 12 months.
As regards the real estate market, 61% of participants forecast housing prices to stagnate in the next 12 months and the same proportion believe current prices are overvalued.
Economists anticipate 1.1% economic growth in 2026, while the budgetary deficit is put at 6.6% of GDP, down from the previous month. Public debt is expected to climb to 63% of GDP in the next 12 months.
(English version by Catalina Apostoiu)